Excellent match-up as Arthur Abraham takes on Andre Dirrell in a 12 round super middleweight fight from Michigan, televised on HBO. This bout is part of the big super 6 super middleweight tournament put on by Showtime.
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Dirrell is a real talent with speed and reflexes but I don't see him as a complete fighter. He has enough ability and talent to beat most opponents on that alone but he has displayed some tendencies that don't bode well against the best opposition. I'm referring to a hit and run, almost scared, style Dirrell displays against dangerous opposition.
He first did this against squatty New York puncher Curtis Stevens where he did enough to win but intentionally avoided any kind of contact for 10 rounds. And in his last fight Carl Froch, Dirrell ran, held and put on a negative display. Dirrell did land some crisp shots and the match was close but with his negative style and constant clinching he gave the impression of a reticent fighter.
Abraham is clearly a winner, a money fighter if you will. He is strong, explosive, tough, skilled and difficult to hit. He fights with supreme confidence and is very comfortable in the ring. He knows how to win and close a show in style as indicated by his many late round KO's. He fought through a broken jaw in a questionable fight but to his vast credit, avenged that fight with an emphatic 4th round stoppage KO of Edison Miranda. Abraham does have one flaw. He can be very defensive and doesn't always have the best work rate.
But I think part of that was making the 160 pound limit in his previous fights. And even though he has been economical, he has been effective and no one has really been able to soar to a points lead in spite that part of his style. And Abraham will benefit that this fight is at 168. It's a very good weight for him right now and he is extremely strong there.
Dirrell may have an edge in pure speed, but Abraham is no plodder and he is so physically strong with great power. Dirrell probably thinks he can punch on Abraham while he's in a turtle defense but unlike Clottey, Abraham will punch back and will explode with heavy combinations throughout the fight.
When Dirrell does open up, he seems off balance and skittering because he's so concerned with incoming fire. And in spite of his speed, he catches shots. I think Abraham knows what the has in front of him, but I'm not sure Dirrell fully appreciates what Abraham brings.
I expect Abraham to be the hunter in this fight. He won't be reckless, that's not his way, but he will provide pressure. And I think he's simply too strong, mentally and physically, for Dirrell to deal with. If Froch made Dirrell fight "that way" it will be worse this time. I expect Abraham to get to Dirrell and possibly catch him with a fight changing shot at some point in the 2nd half of the fight. Either Abraham wins a decision from a cautious Dirrell or catches him and gets him out late in the fight.
SOURCE :http://www.boxingforecast.com/blog
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